Nate Silver has been running possible scenarios through his amazing modelling machine (which is like the polling equivalent of CERN):
In each and every one of the 624 victory scenarios
that the simulation found for him this afternoon, McCain won Florida,
Georgia, Missouri, Indiana and Montana. He also picked up Ohio in 621
out of the 624 simulations, and North Carolina in 622 out of 624. If
McCain drops any of those states, it's pretty much over.
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