age trumps race?

Andrew Sullivan thinks the most important split in the Pennsylvania results was generational:

Obama lost every cohort over 40; Clinton lost every cohort under 40. Race also affects the generations in turn: 67 percent of whites over 60 voted for Clinton - a massive 24 point advantage. Among the younger generation, there is much less racial polarization: under 30, whites split evenly.

Comments

[Jim Godfrey]

I don't know what is being reported in the UK but the excellent Anderson Cooper on CNN hosted a good disco on this last night and pointed two things out, that Hilary may have won but that in the exit polling well over half (may have been as much as 60%) of voters thought that Obama would end up winning the nomination outright, and that such is the unpopularity of of the Republicans that many of these voters will swing behind Obama if he is nominated.

[marbury]

Yes, many of them will swing behind Obama - but some won't. The question is, how many 'Reagan Democrats' are there these days? Ie culturally conservative blue collar Dems who'll vote for the other side if they think the Dem candidate is too liberal (or too black). That may be the biggest question for the superdels to ponder. And are there enough in the big swing states to deliver the electoral college to McCain?