Towards the end of his interesting post on the relationship between Obama's improving ratings and the improving jobs numbers (in short, there is one), Nate Silver points to something to watch out for:
Speaking of which, there is one set of headlines that could be especially important to Mr. Obama. On Friday, Nov. 2, the government will release a jobs report — just four days in advance of the Nov. 6 election.
That will represent the first time since 2000 that a jobs report immediately preceded a presidential election. If the election is too close to call at that point, the report could very easily make the difference.